Turbulence in the Market: Opportunities and Uncertainty

At John Bell Aircraft, we’ve observed that Memorial Day typically sparks a surge in aviation activity, from football and tailgate parties to aircraft sales. However, 2025 is shaping up differently as the pre-owned aircraft market grapples with rising inventory and economic uncertainty.

Market Dynamics

Growing inventories in homes, boats, and heavy equipment signal a cautious market, and aviation is no exception. Buyers are adopting a wait-and-see approach amid economic and trade uncertainties. Tariffs on new aircraft production are driving up prices, pushing demand toward pre-owned models and creating opportunities for savvy buyers in specific segments.

VREF Market Trends: Business Jets

The used business jet market is expanding, with over 1,150 jets currently for sale—a 7% increase year-over-year, though slightly down from December 2024. Key insights include:

  • Newer jets (<7 years old): Inventory up 12% year-over-year.
  • Midsize jets: Leading the surge with a 15% inventory increase.
  • Light jets: Up 9%.
  • Heavy jets: Down 3%, except for the G550 platform.
  • Pricing: Adjusting downward across most models, with G600s as a notable exception.

Stable quarter-to-quarter values in select models offer a silver lining in an otherwise softening market.

VREF Market Trends: Turboprops

Turboprop trends are mixed:

  • King Airs: Stable values, but tightening inventory limits options for models like the 350, B200, 200, and C90.
  • Softer Markets: M350, Jetprop, Meridian, and Malibu are seeing declining values.
  • Stable Markets: TBM and PC-12 remain unchanged, though tariffs may impact future trends.
  • Market Stagnation: Nearly 900 business jets and over 400 turboprops have lingered on the market for over 180 days. Turbine sales are down, with only 3,800 closings in 2025 compared to 4,194 in the same period last year. Since January 1, 2025, 1,737 aircraft have been listed for sale.

VREF Market Trends: Pistons

Piston sales, typically robust in spring, have been sluggish. Tariffs, trade uncertainties, and supply chain concerns for parts from overseas vendors have dampened buyer enthusiasm. Financing challenges—higher down payments, elevated interest rates, and stricter underwriting—are further complicating sales, particularly for aircraft priced above $500,000.

The trainer market remains a bright spot, with strong demand for G1000-equipped Cessna 172s. However:

  • Cirrus SR22 G7 (non-Autoland): Values have dropped sharply due to a midyear announcement and high inventory (nearly 200 Turbo and Non-Turbo units for sale).
  • Diamond DA50: Premiums have turned to discounts, reflecting waning interest.

A Market Ripe with Opportunity

The VREF report highlights a challenging yet opportunity-rich market. New aircraft orders dropped significantly in April 2025 due to tariffs and economic uncertainty, creating a buyer’s market in select segments. High inventory, selective buyers, and tight financing present hurdles, but they also open doors.

For Buyers: Now is a prime time to acquire high-quality pre-owned aircraft at corrected values— potentially the best pricing environment for the next 18 months. Acting swiftly, especially with tax benefits in play, could position you ahead of the curve as the market stabilizes.

For Sellers: To move your aircraft, ensure records are meticulous and work with a professional who understands current market dynamics and realistic pricing. At John Bell Aircraft, we’re here to guide you through this turbulent market. Contact us to seize opportunities or strategically position your aircraft for sale.

Unlock Massive Tax Savings: 100% Bonus Depreciation Makes 2025 the Perfect Year to Buy an Aircraft!

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed into law on July 4, 2025, has permanently restored 100% bonus depreciation for qualifying aircraft, allowing you to deduct the full cost of your purchase in the year it’s placed in service. This game-changing provision applies to both new and used aircraft acquired after January 19, 2025, offering unprecedented opportunities to boost cash flow and optimize your tax strategy. Whether you’re eyeing a sleek business jet or a reliable piston aircraft, now is the time to explore options. Contact us today to discover how we can help you navigate this landscape and secure your ideal aircraft—let’s get you soaring with these incredible benefits!

Key provisions and requirements

  • Effective date: To qualify for 100% bonus depreciation, the aircraft must have been acquired under a binding written contract signed on or after January 20, 2025, and placed in service after that date. For aircraft placed in service earlier in the year (from January 1 to January 19, 2025), a 40% bonus depreciation rate applies.
  • Qualifying property: The deduction is available for both new and used aircraft, provided it is the taxpayer’s first use of the asset.
  • Business-use threshold: To claim the deduction, the aircraft must be used for qualified business purposes for more than 50% of the time in the year it is placed in service. Usage for entertainment, amusement, or recreation does not count towards the business-use requirement.
  • Recapture rule: If the qualified business use percentage drops to 50% or less in any subsequent year, the taxpayer may be required to recapture the excess depreciation claimed. This means the taxpayer must report additional income for the year the business-use threshold is no longer met.
  • Record-keeping: The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) scrutinizes aircraft deductions. Taxpayers are advised to maintain meticulous records, such as detailed trip logs, to substantiate the aircraft’s business use.
  • Federal vs. state: Some states do not conform to the federal bonus depreciation rules and may require taxpayers to use different depreciation schedules. 

The skies are clearer than ever for smart investments. Get in touch with us today to explore your options and take off with confidence—your dream aircraft awaits!